Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Jail mums

Yesterday I was reading a paper in the newly released NZ Social Policy Journal called Jail Mums: The Status of Adult Female Prisoners Among Young Female Prisoners in Christchurch Women's Prison. With a self-admitted "feminist and anti-colonial" agenda ('walk a mile in their shoes' is a dead give away) the researcher talked to a handful of young female prisoners about their experience of older female prisoners. Unlike young males, young females are not separated from the older prisoners because there is anecdotal evidence that mothering relationships are good for the younger females. Of course there are also 'contaminatory' role models but that seems an accepted risk. But I have to wonder why nobody ever suggests that jail dads might be a good thing.

I believe it is important to be aware of the environment from which these women have come to prison while interpreting their talk – to try to imagine walking a mile in their shoes. Participants discussed the lack of support they received from the non-criminal community when they were not in prison:

"And like you know a lot of people ask other people who keep coming to jail all the time ‘why do you keep coming to jail, you know, why can't you stay out of jail?' … You know, a lot of women come to jail because they feel nice … jail, I know that's upsetting to say but – [Interviewer: Why would it be upsetting?] – Because they should have that thing … that family on the outside as well as the inside … they should have that support, regardless of what they've done, where they've been … I mean we all make mistakes aye … but we can only learn from our mistakes."


Um...when?

Further, a number of young women discussed the lack of support they received from their family of origin, which they believed had contributed to their offending:

"Only 'cause of the crimes that I've committed and the people I harmed out there, like I put that back on my family really, I wouldn't be in the position I'm in if they'd just give me a little bit of support … Oh well, I'm here now, I'll just have to make do with what I've got."

One could analyse this extract as an attempt to shift responsibility for criminal behaviour. Another interpretation, however, is that it is a cry for help: a young person expressing a need for effective parenting – guidance, protection, and financial and emotional support.


I'll go with the first interpretation thanks. And expecting 'jail mums' to fill the space of nurturer and teacher is a bit desperate in my book. Still, it's convenient for the state to buy it.

If the success of these relationships was measured by the number of young females not coming back then the following isn't looking good.



One gets the impression from the interviews the relationships are more likely to make prison a more attractive place to be.

Getting what she asked for

This could literally happen to anyone who has kids. A Herald Business reporter had three police "banging" on her door after a report from a neighbour there was a child screaming in the house and it wasn't the first time.

Children and screaming are synonymous. I have one who screams when frustrated. Hasn't happened recently so she is hopefully growing out of it. I don't know if I take the right approach by choosing to ignore it. I've tried sympathising or offering help but it's like saying "Where did you last have it?" to someone who has lost something they desperately need. It inflames the situation.

Fortunately I know all my neighbours well and I doubt, if they hear her, they would feel concerned. I can't imagine how angry I would be if three cops turned up, especially if they were as rude as the writer describes. I couldn't have written about the incident as calmly as she has.

This sort of thing is a result of the climate of hysteria that has developed and is getting out of control. I am not of the "if I have done nothing wrong I have nothing to fear" persuasion - the type to roll over and pant at the first hint of ID cards.

I suspect neither is this mother but having championed the anti-smacking bill, a welcome mat to the expansion of the surveillance society, she can hardly make a fuss now. I also suspect the complaining neighbour may well have known about the journalist's advocacy of the bill and is obligingly giving her a dose of what she wanted.

Monday, August 13, 2007

Stop the seesaw - I wanna get off

National get another good poll result.

Because I don't really care whether National or Labour win the next election - they are both as bad as each other - I think I can be reasonably dispassionate about who I think will win.

National. But not because of any policy or vision they are promoting. Typically they will win because people are sick of Labour. Then we will go through the whole drawn out charade again - two or three terms of National, failed policies, scandals, growing disenchantment and dissension, etc and we'll go back to an appealingly fresh-looking Labour.

This is as predictable as the next case of child abuse. And almost as depressing. Why would anything change when the vast majority of people still believe governments are the answer to most perceived problems?

If you don't believe me put aside a morning to read newspapers from 20, 30, 40 years ago. In those areas that most affect most people - health, welfare, education - the same problems recur ad nauseam. Waiting lists and doctor shortages, illiteracy, truancy and teacher dissatisfaction, wrangling over super - how to fund it, who should get it and how much? - working-age welfare - why are there so many beneficiaries in a developed country replete with opportunity? - relative poverty, race issues, drug crime, gangs, obesity - yes, obesity was a public health fixation even in the sixties and seventies (Headlines from 1973).

Still, I suppose it is healthy to keep on imagining that a new government will deliver a shiny new world. Otherwise everyone would be gloomy as Eyeore. Or me :-))

Sunday, August 12, 2007

Hysteria and hype just got worse

At least psychologist Nigel Latta has his head on the right way around.

Another inane idea about protesting child abuse. This time from the TEAR Fund.

Wearing the Pledge Peg ( we don’t sell them, just get one from your laundry ) provokes people to ask why are you wearing a clothes peg. That’s your opportunity to talk openly about our crisis of child abuse in New Zealand and explain that we are all advocates and need to accept responsibility for protecting our nation’s children.

Almost every conversation with the Pledge Peg will end with the other person asking for a peg and joining the movement. The Pledge Peg can be a chain reaction. Carry some spares in your pocket.


But;

Clinical psychologist Nigel Latta says the concept is crass and he does not know whether to laugh or be offended. He says awareness will not solve the problems as those responsible for the attacks just do not care. He says campaigning about child abuse is a waste of time. Nigel Latta suggests it is the equivalent of everyone walking around with tomato sauce on their clothes every time there is a murder.

Friday, August 10, 2007

The dangers of living

This is cheerful. Health authorities want people to lead such prescriptive lives. They simply don't understand that people might want to enjoy themselves.

Record numbers of people are developing "avoidable cancers" because of their lifestyle, despite warnings.....Figures released yesterday show soaring levels of cancers caused by excessive sunbathing, obesity, alcohol and smoking.....The latest figures show almost 9,000 cases of malignant melanoma were diagnosed in 2004 - up from fewer than 6,000 in 1995.....Experts blame the rise in cheap flights to the sun for increased melanoma rates.

So stay home in the dreary English weather. Don't drink to drown your sorrows or over-eat to compensate for being cold. Don't dare have a fag to relieve the stress of it all. Exercise by walking through the endless, sameness of suburbia. And make sure you have these holiday breaks so as not to overwork.

The thing is there are no guarantees. They could still drop dead tomorrow. What is certain is they are alive right now and they are damn well going to make the most of it while it lasts.

Thursday, August 09, 2007

Job growth - WFF

2006 June 1,668,000 457,000

2007 June 1,672,000 486,000

These figures are the number of full-time and part-time jobs in June 2006 and June 2007. Only 4,000 more full-time jobs compared to 29,000 more part-time jobs.

This is bound to have something to do with WFF and the In Work Payment. In March this year 118,000 people were receiving an In Work Payment. Many of these people would have previously been on some sort of partial-benefit (dole, DPB) so still counted as beneficiaries. Now they don't. This has got a lot to do with dropping beneficiary numbers. How much I don't know as IRD won't tell me (they don't record the info apparently) how many were previously on a benefit.

Child deaths linked to unemployment

From today's NZ Herald;

Mr Doolan said the data suggested that child killings increased in line with unemployment in the late 1980s and early 90s, but were now trending downwards as the economy improved.

I am less sure about this link. Look at the figures;



We had full employment through the 60s and most of the 70s. Add the 60s and 70s together and there were 179 deaths. Add the 80s and 90s together, when we had soaring and peak unemployment, and there were 169 deaths.

In 1971 there were 909,000 children (0-14). In 1994 there were 828,000. Today there are 867,000. Because of the ageing population although the overall population has grown the numbers of children have been relatively steady.

No. I'm not buying it.

The number of children abused increased by 15.4 per cent to a new record of 10,159 in the financial year to the end of June.

The number might be a rise on the financial year to June 2006 but it's a drop on the calendar year 2006 from 10,873 (again not including 'neglect').

Wednesday, August 08, 2007

Politician with too much time on his hands

Yesterday it was the insane suggestion we indiscriminately slaughter certain dog breeds. Today.....Uh oh. Somebody needs to take Gordon Copeland to one side and quietly tell him we already have a Children's Day.

Independent MP Gordon Copeland stated today that he has received a suggestion that New Zealand should have an annual Children’s Day with a strong emphasis on child protection.

“I feel this idea should be progressed,” said Mr Copeland.

“After all we have a Mother’s Day and a Father’s Day each year, so why not a Children’s Day?”

“The suggestion I have received is that it would not be a national holiday, just a focus day and perhaps on the 1st Sunday in August each year so that it becomes linked to the death of dear little Nia Glassie.”

“I recommend that the Children’s Commissioner, the Families Commission and the Government grab hold of this idea and progress it so that we direct our thoughts on this special day, at least once a year, to the ongoing need to protect our precious children.”

We are over-regulated!



This represents the number of pages of new primary legislation by decade BUT excludes secondary and tertiary legislation (regulations).

ACT's Regulatory Responsibility Bill is a rare opportunity to do something about controlling the regulators. This editorial explains rather well just what the bill proposes.

Also check out the Cut Red Tape website. If you have a story to tell about the outrageous cost in money and time of complying with pointless regulations then please tell it to the select committee considering this bill. As Rodney Hide says, if the committee doesn't hear from you they will assume there is no problem.

Unfortunately submissions close Friday BUT your written submission needn't be lengthy. Make sure you indicate you want to speak directly to the committee and save the bulk of your story for that occasion. The members will all say they have read your submission and expect to hear something different or additional anyway (my experience) plus it is a chance for them to ask you questions.

Again, I cannot stress what a rare opportunity to do something about unwelcome and unwieldy government intervention this is. Don't waste it. A little bit of time spent now could save you bucketloads in the future.

Rodney's book

Attended Rodney's book launch at Parliament last night. His brief speech was one of the best I have heard in which he spoke about the values we get from our parents and how important that is. When I began reading the first pages his thoughts echoed those I have long held - that my parents gave me absolute security. With it you can take risks and face challenges. Those of us who experience the deep-seated security only parents can provide sometimes take it for granted. I used to. I don't now because when I look around me or read through the pages of the newspaper I know that thousands of children will never experience anything remotely close to it.

But I am too serious. We stopped off at a restaurant on the way home and I couldn't resist a quick dip into the pages. This is the first passage I read and it had me laughing out loud;

"My father didn't believe in stopping to eat. We would drive along chomping on sandwiches lovingly prepared by Mum but tasting of diesel, rock phosphate or whatever it was we were carting. We would also enjoy the best drink - black tea from a thermos. I thought it was the nicest meal in the world. I always considered myself lucky because before I was born my father also carted stock. He'd told me that wasn't so much fun because you had to wipe your hands on the sweat under your armpits to get the sheep shit off before eating your sandwiches. I thought the diesel and rock phosphate tasted pretty good after hearing that."

I don't usually read for pleasure. Just can't find the time except for bedtime. Typically I drop off to sleep after 4 or 5 pages of history or facts and figures. Last night I got to page 29 before pegging out. That is quite an achievement for me. And the book is quite an achievement for Rodney. Can't wait to read more.

Tuesday, August 07, 2007

Mass destruction mooted

I only read this because I was amused that Copeland and Dunne are both trying to grab the headlines over the latest dog attack. Methinks Copeland might be trying a tad too hard though with his latest suggestion;

“However any ban needs to go beyond just eliminating these dogs from our society in the future and, although I know it is a tough call, I think we need to look at the destruction of these breeds in their entirety starting from now. Our children must come first."

Say what?? How will that work? Put out a call to all dangerous dog owners (I know that's ambiguous but some owners are more dangerous than their dogs) to bring them into the pound to be destroyed? Rounding up every family pet Staffie? Gordon Bennett, Gordon. Get a grip.

How times change



Today Nanny vilifies and persecutes smokers, fat people, child-smackers, christians, and dog-owners but never a word is said about evil expectorators who seem to be everywhere.

"Food that travels well"

The following Lincoln University research is being quoted in the New York Times. Interesting.

* Most notably, they found that lamb raised on New Zealand's clover-choked pastures and shipped 11,000 miles by boat to Britain produced 1,520 pounds of carbon dioxide emissions per ton while British lamb produced 6,280 pounds of carbon dioxide per ton, in part because poorer British pastures force farmers to use feed.

* In other words, it is four times more energy-efficient for Londoners to buy lamb imported from the other side of the world than to buy it from a producer in their backyard. Similar figures were found for dairy products and fruit.


The only thing is English lamb is nicer than NZ lamb. I buy for flavour and tenderness.

Under-reporting, over-reporting

Figures released by CYF to the Herald on Sunday last week show in the year to June 30, a total of 4672 cases of child abuse - 46 per cent of the overall total - came from Maori households, compared with 27.8 per cent (2828 cases) from Pakeha families. That number for Maori is up from 45.1 per cent the previous year. The figure for Pakeha is down from 30.7 per cent. Only 2.8 per cent of abused children are Asian and 16.4 per cent are Pacific Island.

These figures struck me as too low. The reason why is CYF have left out the 'neglect' category - usually included under the general heading of 'abuse' - which adds about fifty percent more. (Unless of course the reporter left them out.)

So we have people like the Children's Commissioner over-stating the problem (because she is pushing her grand plan to monitor all children and the bigger the problem the more public buy-in she can get.) Barnardos overstating the problem (because they want more public and government funding). And you get other organisations (government) understating it probably for performance - both organisational and political - reasons.

What is noticeable however is the similarity between the year to December 2006 and the year to June 2007. 10,873 to 10,156. The number says more to me about CYF capacity than anything else. This is the number they can deal with so cases are prioritised accordingly.

Monday, August 06, 2007

And so it goes



What year?

Blocking information

A discussion between Judith Collin's researcher and myself precipitated this release questioning the rise in the number of 16 and 17 year-olds on an invalid's benefit. What concerns me deeply is her office's inability to get questions answered by the Ministry equals my own. There isn't much point in having MPs if their access to information is blocked. Like me they are left trying to put together pieces of a puzzle and making stabs in the dark as to the true situation. It's not good enough and it's not what Labour promised. Perhaps the clamp down was a directive from David Benson-Pope. To his credit under Maharey the Ministry was more forthcoming. That may have been merely coincidental.

I made a second complaint to the Office of the Ombudsmen in February and still have not received a response. It is ironic that under the Official Information Act ministries have 20 working days to respond. Yet the office that oversees the proper implementation of the Act has no such obligation. Who scrutinises the scrutinisers?

Update; After phoning the Ombudsman's Office to chase up my complaint I was initially told the letter couldn't be located. The following day I was rung and informed it had been found but has not even been looked at yet. Great.

Sunday, August 05, 2007

Some 'noise'

Deborah Coddington's Herald on Sunday column today is also about the child abuse problem. Her angle is, politically nothing is going to change.

Act, the only party ever to have a half-decent welfare policy, has confused libertarian with libertine and reinvented itself as the "fun party", fiddling while Rome burns.

I understand that Rodney is the target of Deborah's anti-ACT barbs. But "fiddling while Rome burns" is rather unfair to Heather (who has never had a bad word for Deborah). This is Heather's area. Not Rodney's. Last week she had this and this to say. She is working as hard as any other social services spokesperson to present ACT's ideas about what would make a difference. And the quality of that presentation is better than most.

More freudian than Freud

Heavens. The truth at last.

Cindy Kiro's claims

From the Sunday Star Times Cindy Kiro claims, in an interview with Steve Braunias;

"(But) of the 88 children killed between 2002 and 2006, 48 were Pakeha. Maori were 28. The remainder were Pacific Island and a few Asian."

In the context of the interview which was, as you would expect, about child abuse, thus deaths from maltreatment, you would expect her to quote relevant figures.

In the five years to 2003 38 children died as a result of maltreatment. From 93-98 fifty. Here are the facts;


Children killed per 100,000 aged 0-14

1991-2000
Non-Maori - 0.67
Maori - 2.40
Total - 1.07

2001-2005
Non-Maori - 0.60
Maori - 1.34
Total - 0.79

Source: Mike Doolan, Canterbury University.

The rates are falling. The 0-14 population has been steady since around 1994. Unless 2006 was an aberration her figures cannot be right. Now why would she produce such inflated figures?

Saturday, August 04, 2007

"How to rip off WINZ"

Should I be angry or pleased about an article in Salient, "How to rip-off WINZ"?

The more exposure this crooked, corrupt system gets the better I suppose. But encouraging people towards the lowest common denominator behaviour is not going to make things better. Its the old, if you can't beat 'em you may as well join 'em trick.

The article, published this week , detailed ways for people to get the most out of the Work and Income system – including cell phones, clothes, abortions, vasectomies, dental care and furniture.

Salient editor Steve Nicoll said the article was factually correct and not misleading anybody.

"We are providing a service, telling people about what Work and Income offer. We don't advise anyone to do anything that is against the law," he said.


It may be legal but it isn't ethical. I know it's supposed to be funny but it's not funny when this is what we are telling our supposed 'best and brightest'.

Friday, August 03, 2007

A job for you

Jim Hopkins at his brilliant best. A must read.

In fact cut and paste the url and send it to Hodgson and Maharey just to ensure they get the message. I'm going to.

Thursday, August 02, 2007

Pissed off (but not pissed) worker

This just arrived in my in-box;

I work, they pay me. I pay my taxes and the government distributes my taxes as it sees fit. In order to earn that pay cheque, as I work in heavy industry , I am required to pass a random urine test, with which I have no problem (in passing) .

What I do have a problem with is the distribution of my taxes to people who don't have to pass a urine test. Shouldn't one have to pass a urine test to get a welfare cheque because I have to pass one to earn it for them??

Please understand – I have no problem with helping people get back on their feet.

I do on the other hand have a problem with helping someone sit on their arse drinking piss & smoking dope all day .

Could you imagine how much money the state would save if people had to pass a urine test to get a DPB cheque?????

Please pass this along if you agree or simply delete if you don't.

Hope you all will pass it along though, because something has to change in this country, and soon!

It's like blackmail

What took Sue so long? I've been expecting this for days;

"When the overarching goal of the benefit system is that people on the DPB, invalids and sickness benefits should aim to get into the paid workforce as soon as possible - and case managers at Work and Income actively pursue this strategy - mothers will sometimes feel impelled to go out to work, and may end up at times leaving their children with people who may not provide the best possible care for the child."

Now it's our fault the mother left her child with a bunch of untrustworthy people. Negation of responsibility never ends in Sue Bradford's world. It's societies fault that people do not take advantage of the education they are offered. It societies fault they then can't get jobs. It's societies fault they have kids they can't afford to feed. So society better cough up and pay these people for the ills it has visited on them. And it better keep paying them because otherwise children will be maimed.

Breast feeding bunkum

This business of enshrining in law the right of mothers to breast feed in public is just foot stamping to the nth degree. It's an issue driven by obsolete feminists who haven't got anything substantial left to bitch about.

Steve Chadwick is just the most infuriating woman. With her droll tones she tells Kaye Gregory that human rights trump property rights. Yes. It's all about a babies right to nutrition. Bunkum. It's about militant women's rights. The right of a business owner to treat his premises as private is non-existent.

A babies right to nutrition, my arse Steve.

Messy

The major coverage of what John Key did and didn't say about the trans-Tasman therapeutic deal is in the Herald.

The DomPost has it on A8 with the role of the Australian Commissioner as a focus. But the PM has also waded in contradicting Key's claim that National were not consulted. She personally talked to Murray McCully to make an "eleventh hour plea for compromise.". Here's what Helen Clark says about Key;

"I think this guy [Mr Key] has got a problem with the truth: BP [David Benson-Pope] swung for less."

Very messy. And uh-oh. More bad timing. On the eve of National's conference the DomPost has John Key now saying (confirming?) no personal tax-cuts till 2010.

Wednesday, August 01, 2007

Domestic violence is two way

The focus on men as the only or major perpetrators of domestic violence is wrong.

There are many, many studies that disprove this.

Here are the results of just one New Zealand survey.

Has any partner EVER actually used force or violence on you, such as deliberately hit, kicked, pushed, grabbed or shoved you, or deliberately hit you with something, in a way that could have hurt you?

Sample of 2526 ever partnered women 21.2 percent
Sample of 1721 ever partnered men 14.4 percent


This initiative to screen all women entering hospital is unjustified.

And here's a thought. As with my other speculation about unthinkable unintended consequences (below) there are some men who are sadistically and pathologically jealous and violently controlling. If such a man knows his partner will be questioned in hospital won't he act to prevent her ever getting there?

What if?

I had a dreadful thought. I was mentally replaying a conversation I'd had with a woman yesterday. We were talking about the Rotorua incident. She was very scathing of Bradford's bill asking, as others are, why didn't that stop them? These groups aren't connected to society, I responded. They aren't interested in the law. They aren't interested in gaining society's approval. In fact, the very opposite applies. They enjoy society's disapproval. They provoke it.

Then I stopped in my tracks. What if this horrible business is the very result of not smacking the child. Imagine for a moment a bunch of stoned or drunk people gleefully thumbing their noses at the anti-smacking bill. They didn't say we couldn't hang her on a clothesline eh? They didn't say we couldn't put her in a tumble-dryer eh? They didn't say we couldn't put her outside in the freezing cold or on the roof eh?

Some hold that these types are so disconnected they wouldn't have known about the bill. I very much doubt that because the TV rarely goes off. When they've run out of money for DVDs and X-box games they have to watch something. If I was anywhere near the truth there would at least be some reason behind such senseless acts.

Tuesday, July 31, 2007

BENEFITS BACKGROUND CHILD NEGLECT AND ABUSE

Media release
BENEFITS BACKGROUND CHILD NEGLECT AND ABUSE
Tuesday, July 31, 2007

In response to the latest high-profile child abuse incidents, a number of politicians and commentators have told New Zealanders they all bear responsibility for what is going on.

"To a point this is true. Most of us pay the taxes that fund dissolute and destructive benefit lifestyles." According to welfare commentator, Lindsay Mitchell, "Like it or not we fund the system that over-produces dysfunctional and violent families."

"Not since 1996 has research been conducted into which families are over-represented in notifications to Child, Youth and Family. It was discovered then that children in welfare-dependent families are 4 times more likely to be reported as in need of care and protection. This needs to be acknowledged and, if necessary, the research should be updated, published and, this time, acted on."

"If the majority of notifications relate to children with benefit-dependent parents the association should be cause for alarm - not routinely ignored. Much domestic abuse is alcohol or drug-fuelled. Most people drink, many use drugs. But they control their consumption because they have jobs to hold down and children to care for. Others, who receive a weekly 'pay' cheque regardless of whether they work or tend to their families, spiral out of control."

"As members of the larger society we are all responsible for allowing the continuation of such a flawed social security system. We cannot keep turning a blind eye to what backgrounds the high incidence of child neglect and abuse. It's degenerate lifestyles accommodated by benefits."

Whacko

We need a laugh. Get these flakes. Vegansexuals who won't have sex with meat-eaters because their bodies are made from carcasses. Good god. I might be a necrophiliac.

Explosion in reporting

This is rather astonishing;

Dr Wills expected 2500 Hawke's Bay youngsters would be referred to social welfare services this year, 300 of them by the hospital.

2,500 children represents around 15 percent of the children living in the Hastings and Central Hawks Bay district. If that percentage were extrapolated across the country we would be looking at over 130,000 children being referred to social welfare. To put that into context as it stands last year around 16,000 children were receiving social work services.

Hawke's Bay health board's development of a strategy to tackle the region's high rate of child and domestic violence had worked so well that levels of reporting had rocketed.

But how many of those reports are substantiated? The level of reporting on its own says nothing.

The strategy, called the Hawke's Bay Family Intervention Programme, had proven so successful it is to be launched nationwide tomorrow by the Health Ministry.

So this scheme is being rolled out nationwide and we will measure its success by sky-rocketing reports. But where the heck are the resources coming from to deal with all these reports? DHBs are constantly stretched, there is a shortage of social workers and GPs and fosterers. The courts are stretched. The jails and youth lock-ups are full.

Success should be measured by a reversal of all of these, not sky-rocketing reports.

Monday, July 30, 2007

Labour MP says he knew Bradford's bill was a waste of time

Just listening to Labour MP Dover Samuels calling in to Radio Live and vigorously regaling Jackson and Tamihere with his thoughts about these latest atrocities. He says he and a lot of other MPs knew that Sue Bradford's bill would make not one iota of difference. There are no academic solutions. There are no do-gooder solutions. And the Maori Party and their 'aroha' can go jump. There you go.

A few words on the current 'crisis'

What we are seeing at the moment is not new. 'Battered Child (or baby) Syndrome' was first discussed in the 1960s. From Family Matters by Bronwyn Dalley;

New Zealand medical practitioners and paediatric radiologists took a central role in the dissemination of awareness of the syndrome; staff at Wellington Hospital noted the large number of 'injury' cases with a suspicion that was often confirmed when X-rays revealed earlier healed fractures.

Many cases of abuse investigated "displayed an intergenerational pattern." So the abuse stems back further still. The distressing number of young Maori children who died at the hands of their young mothers who had themselves been state wards is commented on.

For a long time associated factors have been known. Unmarried parenting, very young parenting, and a personal parental history of neglect and abuse. Add to these increased misuse of alcohol and drugs and benefits that pay emotionally and financially bereft people to become parents and it is little wonder what problem already existed has worsened.

I have little time for calls for a review into causes or even more state money going into groups working with at-risk families (who were grown on the back of state money anyway). The families you can get into aren't the worst. They have asked for and admitted you. As a volunteer I don't get paid for what I do and wouldn't do more if I was paid.

All the hand-wringing and knee-jerking going on over the past few days, on TV and radio, is rather wearing me out and I have no more to add except the thoughts of Lewis Anderson who was Superintendent of child Welfare forty, yes FORTY, years ago;

Anderson took the brutally realistic view that no matter what staff did or how extensive their supervision or services were, children would still suffer or be killed at the hands of their parents or caregivers. He repeatedly pointed out that child welfare officers were 'not clairvoyant', that is was inevitable that children would be killed by their parents, and that there were abused children about whom the Division had no knowledge until it was too late.

Friday, July 27, 2007

Benefit dependency among drug users

An expanded version of this report about a study into 318 drug users included the fact that "two fifths were unemployed, sick or invalids". No surprises there. Substance abuse as a reason for being on a sickness or invalids benefit is contributing to the sustained rises in reliance on those benefits.

Here are the numbers for just the Invalid's Benefit 1997-2005;



The latest I have for the sickness benefit is 2004 when 2,418 people were substance abusers. So it's safe to say there are over 4,000 substance abusers on welfare. Bear in mind this is the number of people who have substance abuse listed as their main reason for being on a benefit. Others will be hidden away in categories like Depression.

And let's not forget the thousands who are reliant on the state as guests of HM.

His tune never changes

And why should it? Roger Douglas in today's DomPost;

The Government's monopolies in education, health, housing, pensions and insurance against accidents, sickness, unemployment and death should be replaced by competition wherever possible.

It should take responsibility for only those functions that had to be centrally controlled, such as foreign affairs, defence and justice.


What I don't understand is why he insists on constantly criticising Rodney, who is the most libertarian MP in parliament. A little less of that particular refrain would be nice.

Thursday, July 26, 2007

It's never long before...

...we get another awful case.
It's just too hard to understand what goes on in the minds of these people.

This govt is in trouble

The teacher's union, the PPTA, has taken a full page ad in today's DomPost attacking the government. It features a photo of a couple of students with a large headline 'Promise'. The photo is torn in two, intended to convey a promise broken.

"What happens when a government dishonours it pledged support for secondary education? Communities and families up and down the country feel betrayed. And young lives are stunted by being denied opportunities to grow and fulfil yheir promise."

Strong, highly emotive stuff.

Wednesday, July 25, 2007

Matt Robson confirms ACT MPs doing a good job

From latest Robson-on-politics;

NZ media coverage of ACT Party

Because I have been overseas for the last month I have had to rely on the website versions of the newspapers and other outlets instead of turning on the TV or picking up the paper for NZ news.

And, you know, one thing that really struck me is how much media coverage the ACT Party gets.

"Act has every reason to be optimistic about the election next year," the NZ Herald website told me in a story on 8 July.

On 9 July, the NZ Herald had an article on members' views on the ACT Party's new co-operation agreement with the Labour Party.

On 10 July, the NZ Herald even had an Editorial dedicated to the ACT Party. It basically served to warn Mr. Hide that should he work with the government to advance Australasian regulations over so-called therapeutic products - then, well, then, "many National supporters must question whether Act is worth saving."

(I was surprised by that because for literally decades the NZ Herald has run literally thousands of stories on business leaders demanding Australasian-wide standards and regulations - because that reduces businesses' costs of doing business in both markets.)

"National's leaders, seeing Act willing to provide the final drops of oil to lubricate Labour policies, may feel far less inclined to entertain its policies when they hold power. If so, Act will cease to matter as a political influence," the editorial continued.

An interesting perspective. When did ACT matter as a political influence? I thought ACT had been in Opposition since the day it entered Parliament in 1996. It held neither influence in the National-led government of 1996, not the Labour-led governments since 1999.

On 20 July, the NZ Herald told us that Act won a "significant victory in Parliament" by somehow forcing a victims' rights amendment to be incorporated into the Criminal Justice Reform Bill.

I cannot understand this last story - it doesn't tell us how the vote went. But if it is true that the Criminal Justice Reform Bill is only being advanced with ACT support, then it is meaningful. But if what actually happened is that NZ First changed its position, then the story is just ACT propaganda i.e. ACT's "spin" on what actually happened and completely confusing to readers wanting to understand what is actually happening in their Parliament.

So how much support does ACT have again?


There is only one other big newspaper owner in the country, the Australian-owned group that produces papers like the Dominion in Wellington, the Press in Christchurch and the nationwide Independent business newspaper.

When I am in Auckland, I don't see these papers. But when overseas looking for news on New Zealand, I see them via the Web. The ACT Party gets equally strong coverage in those papers as well.

So how much support does ACT have? In the 2005 Election, ACT got 34,469 votes compared with the Progressive Party's 26,441 i.e. 1.5% of votes cast versus 1.2%.

In the latest Roy Morgan Poll (published on 11 July, 2007) ACT registered 1% support versus the Progressive Party's 1%. In the TVNZ July 5 poll, ACT registered 0.3% compared with 0.4% for Progressive. (In the electorate vote, Progressive was 0.8% versus ACT at 0.2%).

So given that there was just 0.3 of a percentage point in difference between ACT and Progressive's 2005 election result, and nothing in the polls between the two parties now, and that Progressive is represented in Cabinet and in key portfolios, and therefore actually contributes to government decisions, of course you would expect at least equal coverage in the media for Progressive, right? Yeah Right!

Tuesday, July 24, 2007

Clamour over cleavage

What a to-do. The Washington Post has published a piece about Hillary Clinton's cleavage (you'll be disappointed with the photo) and the feminists are up in arms. Actually it's quite interesting just how much one can find to say about the significance of this development. Not me. The person who wrote the story. I couldn't care less.

Here's what the feminists are saying though;

Mainstream media coverage of women politicians has hit a new, unbelievable low. On Friday, the Washington Post ran a prominent article analyzing Senator Hillary Clinton's cleavage.

Let the Post know that this kind of demeaning coverage will not be tolerated. Senator Clinton is a distinguished member of the Senate and quite possibly the next president of the United States. Instead of writing about her strategy to end the war in Iraq or her plans to reform the health care system in this country, the Post devoted a feature story to analyzing her breasts.

Let's stop this ridiculous coverage now, in the early stages of the campaign, and demand that Senator Clinton is treated with the same dignity and respect as her male competitors.

Male candidates are treated with dignity and respect?? Well, I'll be.

"Low quality votes"

Stephen Franks has a post about low quality votes.

I asked [ The justice and Electoral Select committee] what purpose was served by wailing about low turn out among young people,for example, and coaxing out low quality votes. How dare you call someone’s vote “low quality” was reaction. What else do you call reluctant votes from deeply uninterested and often profoundly ignorant voters.

Now research has shown that health boards disproportionately feature people whose names begin with a,b,c or d simply because their names head the ballot. Ticking the first name that appears is a perfect example of a "low quality" vote.

National's welfare agenda equals status quo

"Setting welfare agenda" is the title of a piece by National MP Judith Collins published in today's DomPost. In it National's welfare policy is revealed as copying Australia's work-for-the-dole scheme.

Collins says, it is time to stop telling people what they can't do, and start challenging them to consider what they can. Labour aren't doing this, apparently, as evidenced by their axing of the Activity in the Community programme.

However Labour's whole thrust in recent years has been work as the default. The drop in numbers on the dole is partly a result of this. A social security bill soon to be passed states as its guiding principle, work in paid employment offers the best opportunity for people to achieve social and economic well-being.

In essence then National and Labour are singing from the same song sheet - once again.

I do not know why Labour have dropped their own work-for-the-dole scheme but there will be good reasons. For instance, the schemes remove jobs from the private sector as with Collin's suggestion that work-for-the-dole participants should be involved in "planting native seedlings and beautification of parks" or "renovating a heritage-listed hall." Or they duplicate the volunteer work traditionally performed by retired folk. Or they are hellish difficult to administer, especially if participants are less than willing.

With under 30,000 people on an unemployment benefit (compared to nearly 115,000 five years earlier) it is questionable whether the "welfare agenda" should focus on the dole anyway. 89 percent of beneficiaries are on other benefits, namely sickness, invalid's and DPB. Even if half of these beneficiaries were to be put into work-for-the-dole schemes we are looking at around 120,000 individuals.

If this is setting the agenda, it is pie in the sky. Where is the serious analysis of the current situation and subsequent priorities? One gets the impression National is promising to resort to its comfort zone - managing problems instead of fixing them.

Only in May, in the same newspaper, National's deputy leader Bill English wrote, "Our prospects of climbing up the ladder (OECD) in the next few years aren't good. Recent economic growth has been fuelled by more employment, more debt, and working longer hours. There aren't more people to bring into work, so there's no more growth from that source."

On the face of it National appears to have accepted that beneficiaries won't provide a source of future paid employees yet are prepared to direct them into schemes intended to make them work-ready. That doesn't make sense.

The single largest group of beneficiaries is on the DPB. Young unskilled and uneducated women get on this benefit and stay there, often for years. There is no argument that being raised on welfare is not the best option for children. The government accepts that yet does nothing about stopping a constant stream of teenage newcomers to the DPB. They need to turn off the tap. Make it clear only short-term emergency assistance will be provided to people exiting relationships and none to people who intentionally have a child with no form of future, financial support. Adoption should be encouraged, not discouraged, which is CYF's current philosophy.

Some rigorous gate-keeping should also be applied to the sickness and invalid benefits. Some on these benefits have genuine reasons to be but increasingly, others have caused the incapacity which then prevents them from holding down a job. There used to be a rule that prohibited their eligibility. Re-adopt that rule for future applicants. One of the major contributors to the escalating number on incapacity benefits is mental ill-health. Perhaps more focus should be going on mental healthcare in the community. Being isolated and on welfare seems not much better than being in one of the many homes or hospitals that used to care for these people.

Above all, a government needs to make it absolutely clear that welfare is no longer a lifestyle. There is no question that many people have been treating it as such. Some of them will now have to be carried under the old rules and expectations as they have made themselves unemployable. But a good many are only using welfare temporarily and will move on in time.

If we ever want to return to a situation whereby we have thousands instead of hundreds of thousands unhappily dependent on the state for their survival, some radical changes are needed. They are not going to come from a National government.

Monday, July 23, 2007

Take the cop test


Do you really, really, really want to be a cop?

Didn't think so.

But you might want to win a video I-pod. I entered and don't even know what one is. Take the cop test and be in to win.

(ps don't tell the truth about whether you have any criminal convictions because it counts a 'yes' as a wrong answer. I guess the right answer is to lie. I'm not sure what exactly that tells us about the Police.)

It is broken

Today's editorial in the Taranaki Daily News and my response below;

If it's not broken no reason trying to fix it

The crimes can be shocking: young children, some as young as 13, involved in violent crimes. Even murder.

As a society we struggle to comprehend how this can happen: where did we go wrong, what have we become? And often we want to hit out, isolate and punish these young criminals, says the Taranaki Daily News.

But NZ First's move to lock up kids for all manner of crimes is way off the mark (excuse the bad pun).

Ron Mark's Young Offender (Serious Crimes) Bill is so far off the mark that principal Youth Court judge Andrew Becroft has slammed it as "abysmally drafted".

That's a nice way to say that it's just plain wrong. Wrong because Judge Becroft says family group conferences and the Youth Court are working to keep these kids on the right path. And wrong because he believes the crisis Mr Mark highlights of problem teens running amok is simply not there.

"Where is the statistical evidence to suggest offending by 10 to 13-year-olds is spiralling out of control?" he asks. He believes figures in fact show youth offending remaining relatively steady.

It's also wrong because children who commit the most serious of crimes can already be sent to adult courts and sentenced to jail.

Bailey Junior Kurariki is a classic example, jailed after becoming one of the country's youngest killers at age 13.

What could possibly be achieved by turfing out a system that successfully deals with young criminals in the community, not in courts, and gives them a chance to redeem themselves, and replacing it with harsher penalties for kids and a system that sets them up for a life of crime, putting them among hardened crims.

Mr Mark's bill passed its first reading because of an election deal with Labour. Let's hope that's as far as it gets.


Dear Sir

I am befuddled by Judge Becroft who spends a lot of time trying to allay public fears that youth offending is worsening (eg his published paper 'Putting the headlines in context') but on another occasion will freely admit that a sub-group of teenagers is becoming more violent. (Taranaki Daily News, May 7, 2007). 13 year-olds do not suddenly become nasty little pieces when they turn 14. Logically then we need, in certain cases, to be heavier handed at an earlier age, not by putting children in adult prisons but by detaining them in youth facilities - for the sake of public safety.

Neither am I reassured by Becroft's claim that statistics do not show increased offending. Our youth justice approach and philosophy for the last one hundred years has constantly shifted the goalposts. We increasingly trivialise criminality (what kids were put into the care of the state for in the early 1900s wouldn't turn a hair on anyone's head today) and increasingly divert children from court. Hence over time the available statistics remain relatively stable while underneath that facade is a steadily worsening situation.

Ron Mark's bill might not be the answer but as he says, neither is the status quo.

Sunday, July 22, 2007

More political interference

While National are consumed by Benson-Pope's role in the dismissal of Madaleine Setchell and planning their parliamentary attack next week, some time should be devoted to asking what Ken Shirley's appointment to the RMIA has to do with Winston Peters.

Friday, July 20, 2007

Hard to swallow

The innocent pay while the guilty get it for nothing. What is it?
(hat tip Reason)

'Child ' offending

Ron Mark, responding to criticism over his bill to reduce the age of criminal responsibility;

“The current youth justice system is not working to reduce repeat and serious offending, and all the while those with vested interests within the system ignore its failings and continue to applaud it as a ‘flagship’ and ‘world leading’ system."

I tend to agree with this. While Principal Youth Court Judge Becroft says there are no statistics showing 10-13 year-olds offending is "spiralling out of control", the violent offending of 14-16 year olds is worsening. 13 year-olds don't suddenly become violent when they turn fourteen. And it is very difficult to find justice statistics that show they are a problem when they can't be charged in a criminal court!

Here are apprehension trends (Which Becroft also rejects because they may only be telling us about police resourcing, practices and recording)



On the other hand, I have reservations about lowering the age of criminal responsibility. Sending a child to court (and whatever ensues) can have the opposite of the desired effect and entrench his criminality. It's a debate that never goes away. Whether to be harsh or lenient. And there is no black and white answer because we are dealing with human beings. No two are ever the same.

Thursday, July 19, 2007

Bravo Judy Turner

Well said United Future's Judy Turner. I couldn't even be bothered blogging about this silly bunch of meddlers, the National Council of Women. But Judy Turner has given them and the 180 degree party (National) a good burst.

“So a report written by the National Council of Women will tell the United Nations that New Zealand is experiencing ‘marked change for the worse’ for women,” she says.

“What a load of hogwash. This is simply representatives of the women’s industry trying to justify their roles and push for more funding. They argue that sexist jokes are increasingly common, and more needs to be done.

“National had a ‘PC eradicator’ two years ago. Now they are chasing the women’s vote and proposing that the taxpayer fork out to increase the funding given to the Ministry of Women’s Affairs to expand their role and mandate.

“I have to say when you look around the world at countries where women are sold and traded like commodities; and rape victims are murdered by their own family in the name of ‘honour’, it’s a little embarrassing that we have a delegation heading to New York to say that sexism is an increasing problem in New Zealand and sexist jokes are common place.”

Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Bugger the bureacrats

I see Rodney is shaking a few trees. From a speech he delivered in Auckland today;

Since the beginning of time our capital city has resented the fact that, while it is the one busily making the rules, it is Auckland that is making the money. It is Auckland that provides New Zealand with its beating industrial and commercial heart; it is Auckland that keeps the lifeblood of money, trade and commerce pumping through the veins of New Zealand.

Auckland is where the nation's economic might lies - and it is because of this that Wellington has always viewed us with a 'divide and conquer' mentality. United we stand, divided we fall - and with eight councils, seven Mayors and 6,000 bureaucrats there's not a whole lot of standing going on.

In essence, the plan itself is very simple - the best plans always are - set them up to squabble amongst themselves. That way they will never be united enough to demand their fair slice of the national pie - because, God forbid, they might actually get it. Because, shock horror, Auckland might start demanding that Auckland taxes actually be spent on Auckland!

Uh Oh

Just writing out a cheque last night and I thought, there's something vaguely familiar about the date. Is it somebody's birthday? Independence Day maybe? No we've had that. Tax Freedom Day? No. Had that. Did I have a dentist appointment? No. Been and done that. Oh yeah. It's my wedding anniversary. At least this year I remembered on the day. Sometimes it's well past before either of us notice. The last of the great romantics - I don't think so. But hey. At least I am not like that blubbering, noisomely sentimental partner of the Nigerian kidnapee. Thank God he was returned and we won't have to see or hear her again. Yuck.

Blame it on the missus

A new book about evolutionary psychology claims,

Men like Barbie-doll blondes, beautiful people have more daughters and a mid-life crisis is not about a man getting old – it's about his wife getting old.

Having read the article, if you are anything like me you will now be mentally going through a list of anybody you know who has had a mid-life crisis or more daughters than sons to see if the theory fits. Does it?

As I have one son and one daughter I figure I must be both rich and beautiful. That or I am neither. Face facts. It's the second. Perhaps I'll go ring a psychic to reassure me that one day I will be both. I need a new 'addiction'.

"When sex is bad for you"

I disagree with Tapu Misa most of the time but her column in today's NZ Herald strikes a chord. But I don't think the difference between men and women is as black and white as she paints it. Plenty of the male species want more than just casual sex as well. (Watch out for Cactus's post on this one.)
My thirteen year-old asked me the other day, not, where do babies come from (he seems to have cottoned on to that with little input from me) but, why would you want to have sex with someone you didn't know? (This after some media item alluding to prostitution.) Why indeed. A very good question.

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

Maori-In-Oz

This is an interesting site;

HAERE MAI TO ALL VISITORS! Welcome to the only website of its kind outside of Aotearoa (NZ). MIO (Maori-in-oz.com) has been online since 2004 with approximately 6,273,000 hits to March of this year and now mustering without effort over a million hits every few months! This gives us warranted reasons to move forward with the times as MIO grows from strength to strength.

Most of their news is dominated by Maori Party press releases so I submitted my piece about Hone Harawira's outburst and they have published it. Nearly 100,000 Maori live in Australia - around 15 percent of the Maori population.

In March 2006 there were 389,464 New Zealanders living in Oz and almost one quarter of them are Maori. Next to Poms (at just over 1 million) Kiwis form the next biggest group by country of birth.

Fuel efficiency is dangerous

US research shows that shaving weight off cars to make them more fuel efficient is resulting in many more lost lives. Additionally when drivers can get more miles per gallon they are inclined to drive more thus negating the fuel savings.

Let's hope that the House does not follow the Senate's lead and dramatically raise Corporate Average Fuel Economy, or CAFE, standards across the board.

Raising CAFE standards would only accomplish two things: eliminating consumers' freedom of choice concerning the types of vehicles they can drive; and placing drivers at greater risk of serious injury or death in the event of an accident.

None of the senators have ever designed a car and sold it in the marketplace for a profit, yet they see fit to tell the entire automobile industry what is possible.,,,

....The CAFE standard is a morally bankrupt public policy – an experiment that has killed almost as many people as the number of military personnel lost in the Vietnam War. It's time to end, not expand, CAFE.


Rule of thumb. Whenever government seeks to solve a problem it creates another.

Monday, July 16, 2007

Maori Karaoke

According to the Sunday News;

Hardened criminals have been battling their way through winter behind bars by playing violent video games and competing in karaoke gaming competitions on brand new LCD television screens....Other video games available to the inmates included SingStar - where players battle it out in an on-screen karaoke contest.

Singstar?? I can't wait to see these guys singing "Material Girl" and "Wake Me Up Before You Go Go". They'll be practising to go on Homai Te Pakipaki when they get out. Brilliant Friday night TV. Have a few drinks while you watch and join in. Better than being at the pub.

Sunday, July 15, 2007

Racist accusations an unfortunate diversion

There are communities in the Far North and on the East Cape where children have never seen their mum or dad - or even their grandparents - working. Demoralisation sets in. These communities are rife with drug-taking, crime, alcoholism, obesity and ill-health. This was what our Prime Minister said in 2004. And has the government done anything about the problem? Apart from the jobs jolt policy preventing the unemployed from moving to these workless towns, no. Neither did that policy prevent parents moving to or growing families in these places.

New Zealand has its parallels with Australia. It is not surprising Helen Clark was reluctant to criticise John Howard's overdue actions in the Northern Territories. Any disapproval would have drawn attention to her own government's inability to protect victims of child abuse.

Hone Harawira's outburst, on the other hand, was a red herring. If he had called Howard a statist or even fascist bastard we might have had the real debate which is about how heavy-handed should a government be in tackling problems that exist throughout society but disproportionately among indigenous, poor communities.

Anyone who listens to Willie Jackson and John Tamihere espousing their paternalistic solutions for Maori communities in south and west Auckland might wonder why Hone hasn't labelled them racist. Jackson and Tamihere want to control the benefits going into dysfunctional Maori families, to link the receipt of welfare money to behaviours they see as desirable - getting the children to school, feeding them properly, not taking drugs and boozing till all hours and not neglecting or abusing their children.

If these two men were Pakeha they would no doubt have also drawn the wrath of Hone and the Maori Party by now. And while their ideas haven't stretched yet to alcohol prohibition it is Hone himself who wants tobacco prohibition. Inasmuch as far more Maori smoke than Pakeha surely this, in Hone's terms, is a racist policy too.

There are Aboriginal leaders who have given qualified support for Howard's national emergency actions. One is Noel Pearson who has worked on the Aboriginal problem for decades and come up with similar solutions as Jackson and Tamihere. Is he a racist too?

So we can see that calling John Howard a racist was a complete waste of time and a unfortunate diversion from the harder question I have already posed.

The problem needs to be split in two. There is a law and order component and there is a social component. Howard has a duty to protect the children who are being illegally abused. This he seems to understand better than his detractors.

But, and this is the thorny but, is suspicion a good enough reason to enforce health checks on all aboriginal children? Because some Aborigines get paralytic drunk should all be stopped from drinking? And worse, with the inevitable criminality that goes with prohibition, will the children end up exposed to even more danger?

Howard is no longer prepared to simply speculate about the answers. He is going to find out. And the ends might eventually justify the means.

Meantime, in New Zealand, with its higher regard for human rights (but lesser regard for stopping crime) thousands of children will go on living perhaps not dissimilar lives to some Aboriginal children. Aboriginal children are four times more likely to be the subject of a finding of abuse (neglect, emotional, physical or sexual in that order) than non-Aboriginal. In New Zealand (when a breakdown was last published ) Maori children were twice as likely as non-Maori children to be victims.

Do we need to think about some short sharp doses of paternalism in this country too? Maybe the Jacksons and Tamiheres have it right. Ultimately people have to learn to stand on their own two feet and take individual responsibility for their actions. But if they won't, not even for the sake of their own children, then there is no other choice but to expect and exercise intervention. We used to talk about "breaking the cycle" but the phrase seems to have faded away as generation after generation has proved stubbornly immune to the efforts of social workers and opportunities presented by a strong economy.

Instead of simply slating Howard, Hone should be watching closely and seeing what can be achieved with this last-resort approach. Aspects of it may be needed here.

Saturday, July 14, 2007

Two new paintings



Two paintings about to be entered into the Academy Gallery's Winter Exhibition. Grappling with names for them and pricing.

Greens of a different variety

The German Greens have ideas that only the ACT party would articulate here. The World Socialist Web has published an article about their latest programme here. Sue Bradford would be horrified.

Germany’s Green Party recently agreed to a new economic programme, published under the title “The Green free-market economy.” The programme paper was developed by prominent party figures under the auspices of the party’s parliamentary faction leader Fritz Kuhn, heralding the free market as the guardian angel of the environment—and their own wallets.
“If the state effects social justice all too bureaucratically, then we end up with an expensive and incapacitating welfare state,” the Greens write. “Green politics require an encouraging and enabling state, which does not curb social life but opens it up.”

The source of such reasoning is well known—it stems from the ideology of neo-liberalism. According to this outlook, it is not unemployment that is responsible for the high number of people on social security, but welfare payments that are responsible for the high number of unemployed.

.....If any questions remain about the direction in which the Greens are headed, they are clarified by the chapter on budgetary policy. Here they demand “a rule that ties the permitted [state] expenditures to the development of [state] receipts.” “Such a rule,” they continue, “effectively limits [state] indebtedness.”

Laws strictly linking public expenditure to the levels of state receipts rank among the most effective means of lowering social spending. They practically eliminate the right of parliament to decide on the level of public expenditure and leave fiscal policy to the arbitrary decisions of the state bureaucracy.

Thursday, July 12, 2007

Face Off

On NewstalkZB tomorrow after 11am. This week the Face Off panel is United future Leader Peter Dunne, Peter Dunne's youth MP and myself discussing Hone Harawira's comments, Jason Reihana's medical treatment and the blood/alcohol limit for driving. Should be .....interesting:-)

National's next policy?

The UK Conservatives are moving towards policy that favours married couples. According to leader David Cameron (Key will be paying close attention);

"I believe that families matter more than anything else to our society. If we get the family right, we can fix our broken society."

Apparently this is not unilaterally welcomed among Conservative supporters. One comment from the Conservative website goes;

"What a dreadful set of proposals. As soon as governments start interfering with people's private lives (such as marriage or sex) then you know it's all going wrong."

Quite.

A socialist utopia , Jim , but not as we know it

Jim Flynn is defending his reported "eugenicist" comments at the Alliance blog. He puts the arguments from the 'real' eugenicists and his responses. Here is one:

THEM: Poor people have many more unplanned children than the well off. They are evicted, suffer from domestic violence, emotional stress. Their lives are chaotic and they lose control.

ME: Well, let us hope that NZ does something about all of that. Redistribution of wealth would eliminate poverty, free education would lower barriers, 20-hour per week jobs with tenure and good child care facilities would mean career women would be less likely to put off having children. All of those things should be done on their merits - and if done your so-called problem would go away. It has gone away in Socialist countries like Finland.


Finland. Finland has a lower fertility rate then NZ and it's declining.

No domestic violence? From an organisation I am sure Jim would trust, Amnesty International;

Violence against women

Violence against women continued to be widespread. The last extensive study on the issue, conducted in 1998, showed that 40 per cent of women in Finland had been victims of physical or sexual violence or threats of violence by men, and 22 per cent of married women and women cohabiting with men had been victims of physical or sexual violence or threats of violence by their partner. The government failed to follow up effectively on a national project on the prevention of violence against women that was carried out between 1998 and 2002.

Finland's crime rate is only just behind NZ's and their homicide rate is higher.
Another thing Jim doesn't mention is their unemployment rate is almost double NZ's.

I'm sure there are lots of positive things socialists can find to say about Finland but let's not go overboard.

Cow disregards govt advice (see following post)

I couldn't resist this gorgeous photograph.



Waharoa farmer Anne Barbour found it easy to forgive her first calving cow of the season for being a bit shaky on her feet after the mum produced a hat trick of new arrivals.

The dairy cow marked the start of the calving season by delivering heifer triplets unaided in the early hours of Wednesday morning last week.

"It really knocked the stuffing out of her," Mrs Barbour said.

"She was a bit off-colour the day before so we put her in the paddock and she delivered naturally overnight. We just came out in the morning and there they were."

The calves were healthy and would be checked by dairy researcher Dexcel to see whether they were identical triplets and worth including in herd research.


Do they look identical to you?

Two child policy urged

A call for UK families to have no more than two children is perplexing;

Families should restrict themselves to having a maximum of two children to stabilise the effect on the environment of Britain's rapidly growing population, a thinktank warns today.

According to the Optimum Population Trust, Britain's rising birth rate, currently growing at the highest rate for nearly 30 years, should be considered an environmental liability.

The author of the report, John Guillebaud, professor of family planning and reproductive health at University College, London, made the call after figures from the office of national statistics showed 669,531 babies were born in Britain last year, with the UK having the highest teenage pregnancy rate in western Europe.

But according to National Statistics;

In the 1960s there was a more sustained 'baby boom', with births rising to a peak of 1,014,700 in 1964. This was followed by a rapid decline in the numbers of births, reaching a low of 657,000 in 1977. The large numbers of women resulting from the 1960s 'baby boom' contributed to a rise in births in the late 1980s and early 1990s.

Subsequently births fell to 669,000 in 2001 and 2002. Since then, with rising fertility rates, births have been rising again. In 2005 there were over 722,500 births in the UK, an increase of 6,600 on the previous year (1 per cent).




From the tone of the report's author you would expect a climbing fertility line. In fact it is fairly flat and there were fewer births in 2006 than in the previous two years.

Also teenage pregnancy is not the same as teenage birth. It is the latter that matters here. But the nuttiest thing is this. Telling women they can only have two children risks a backlash. If every woman produced two children the UK's fertility rate would rise.

Update; A reader has pointed out that the Professor was referring to births in England and Wales. Not the UK. I mistakenly compared the figure he quoted with that of the UK. In fact the fertility rate has risen from 1.8 in 2005 to 1.87 in 2006. The reason I thought the Professor was referring to the UK is his reference to the high UK teenage pregnancy rate. I am still unsure why he threw that in given pregnancy does not equal birth, UK does not equal England and Wales, and the biggest increase in fertility is among women in their 30s and 40s. Perhaps he was selectively quoted.

Wednesday, July 11, 2007

Look to your own patch

Something for the Maori Party to think about.

The 2005-06 rate of substantiated child abuse and neglect per 1,000 0-16 year-olds in Australia was 7.6 For indigenous children the rate was 29.4 and for 'other' children it was 6.5

The most recent available comparison for NZ is 2003 when the rate for non-Maori was 5.9 and for Maori, 11.9 (The overall rate had climbed to 11.8 in 2006 but no breakdown is published.)

Based on care and protection notifications and subsequent established findings Aboriginal children are 4.5 times more likely to be abused or neglected than non-Aboriginal.

Maori children are twice as likely to be abused or neglected than non-Maori.

There is a job for the Maori Party right here.

Better news from Oz

Australian-based Peter Saunders has launched a new book, The Government Giveth and the Government Taketh Away

"We should be getting away from the idea that whenever we have a problem in life we turn straight to government. It infantilises us and destroys our 'can do' spirit."

It's not what you think that matters, Hone

I am not interested in what Hone Harawira thinks about John Howard's actions over the abuse of Aboriginal children. Objections about "racism" and "political motivation" are irrelevant. It is politically none of Harawira's business and most New Zealanders appear to recognise this.

To get a gauge of what Aborigines think I go to one who has been working in this arena for two decades and has the only long term plan I can see working (after Howard does the immediate stuff). He writes here about his reaction after being rung by the Indigenous Affairs Minister 15 minutes before the national emergency announcement was made.

Tuesday, July 10, 2007

Happy throw-away nappy news

Parents can now use you the ever-so convenient, hygienic, better-fitting and safe disposable nappies conscience free;

The announcement in the UK of a Government U-turn on their support for cloth nappies is a victory for parental choice according to the manufacturers of Huggies nappies Kimberly-Clark.

The decision follows a four-year research project at a cost of millions of pounds which found that the impact of burying disposable nappies in landfill sites was matched by the energy consumed and greenhouse gases generated by washing reusables or transporting them to laundries.


The Greens got it wrong again.

Economic illiteracy



This is a prohibition poster from 1924.

It claims that if the money spent on intoxicating liquor was transferred into other items a massive increase in trade would boost labour on farms and in factories, revenue from railways and general transportation, etc.

It ignores the employment and taxation revenue created by the production, freighting and sale of alcohol. It ignores the foreign receipts from importation that allow purchases of NZ goods.

They could have gone a step further and considered how much more employment could be created if alcohol became a significant export market.

Think it over and vote prohibition!

I've thought it over and you are full of ____

Lowering the alcohol limit for driving

A report released on April 17, 2007 showed that drink-driving deaths decreased faster than any other road deaths in the EU.

9 countries, the Czech Republic, Germany , Poland, Slovakia, the Netherlands, Latvia, France, Austria and Greece had alcohol-related deaths decreasing faster than other road deaths.

5 countries, Slovenia, Estonia, Denmark, Switzerland and Lithuania saw road deaths from other causes decreasing faster than alcohol-related deaths.

In 4 countries, Hungary, Finland, Spain and Great Britain drink-driving deaths actually increased in absolute terms.

The alcohol limits in those last four countries are respectively zero, 0.05, 0.05 and 0.08. New Zealand has the last of those limits - 0.08

Like the EU the trend here is a reduction in the rate of alcohol-related road deaths. In 2005 fatal crashes with driver alcohol as a factor represented 29% of all - down from 43% in 1988. The European Transport Safety Council estimates EU alcohol-related deaths account for 30-40 percent of all road deaths. Most EU countries have either 0.05 or zero alcohol limits yet we appear to be performing better.

I cannot see any good case for reducing our current alcohol limit.

Monday, July 09, 2007

Hoisted with their own PC petard

Dear me. I confess to having something in common with the Prime Minister. I have recently used the word "leper" in a way which is apparently offensive to the 30 million lepers of the world.

The Leprosy Mission New Zealand is reeling over Prime Minister Helen Clark’s recent, insensitive use of the word ‘leper’in her comments as reported by TV One on Sunday, which is likely to offend over 30 million people who are affected by leprosy worldwide.

The Prime Minister was reported by Guyon Espiner of TV One News as saying that the self-appointed Prime Minister of Fiji, Frank Bainimarama, will be “treated something like a leper” if he attends the South Pacific Forum meetings.


However, the Concise Oxford Dictionary defines 'leper' as "Person shunned on moral grounds." Will the PM apologise? It would appear the left sometimes get hoisted on their own PC petard.

We don't know how lucky we are


We often complain about the effect of government interference on our lives, but spare a thought for those less fortunate than ourselves.

The people of Zimbabwe are under the heel of one of the most autocratic and incompetent governments in the world. Top of the list of catastrophic mistakes made by the Mugabe government is its handling of the economy. Price increases ran at an annual rate of 4,500 percent in May of this year and the hyper-inflationary spiral shows no sign of stopping.

The route cause of the inflation is the take-over of white owned farms by the government in 2000. Experienced farmers were unceremoniously kicked off their land (in many cases at gun-point) and replaced with groups of "War Veterans." The results were predictably disastrous. The new land-owners knew nothing about farming and combined with a difficult growing season, productivity collapsed. The country's economy, which had depended heavily on farming, went into free-fall.

Having launched an attack on property rights, the government went after another plank of capitalism, financial stability. They started to print money in order to pay for wage hikes for the police and military. These two things together caused an immediate collapse of the value of the currency on international markets, meaning more money had to be printed to pay for foreign debts and to import the food they now needed. Needless to say, inflation is now out of control.

The government has come up with more and more bizarre solutions as the crisis has escalated. In February they made inflation illegal. It was simply against the law to increase prices. The latest move was to introduce price controls, accusing shop owners of causing the problems by being greedy and ordering the to cut food prices by 50 percent. This meant supermarkets now had to sell food at less than the cost they were paying the wholesalers. Needless to say, neither of these things worked.

So what makes Zimbabwe so especially tragic? Put simply, there is no good reason, none, why Zimbabwe should be in such a mess. All of the pieces were there 10 years ago. Elections, natural resources, education and so on. Constant meddling by the government has destroyed what was one of the strongest economies in Africa. It's hard to see where to go from here, but Robert Mugbe cannot possibly be part of the solution.


(From the Adam Smith blog)

I'm not offended Jim (and other stuff)

73 year-old intelligence expert Jim Flynn says that lesser educated women out-breeding those with a tertiary education is a problem. I agree. And I'm one of the dummies. I've had two children but have no tertiary qualifications. Fortunately their father has.

Michael Laws was advocating legalisation of drugs in his SST column. Why? Because prohibition isn't working. I wonder why he thinks banning gang patches will.

At the ACT regional conference Colin James spoke to us about 'risk'. Perhaps we need to learn to live with it instead of overreacting with draconian anti-terrorist measures. Now I see what he was alluding to. Travellers will be randomly taken and searched for explosives. A bridge too far I think.

I expect the illiberal National party to start saying they told us so when they said the party pill ban was taking too long to kick in. Look what has happened. People are stockpiling. Umm. I thought a prohibition-driven price increase was supposed to put people off yet they can find money to buy lots at once.

And finally more fatties. In the NZ Herald it's fat Asians and in the SST magazine it was fat dogs. I have come to the conclusion that as nanny can't do anything about the real evils that threaten innocent people, the rapists and murderers, the child abusers and paedophiles, she is going after those she can bully successfully into mending their wicked ways. Fatties, smokers and smackers.

Sunday, July 08, 2007

DPB compounds problem

From the SST,

New research out of last year's census shows that less educated women are the powerhouse behind the country's birth rate. "They are the anchor of our fertility rate at the moment," said Statistics New Zealand principal demographer Mansoor Khawaja.

No surprises there. It has probably been the case for some time. Maori and Pacific females have higher fertility rates but are generally less well-educated.

I thought I'd have a look at the fertility rate of those on the DPB (allowing that for many this is a temporary situation and their children were born before they became dependent on a benefit.)

The most recent stats I can use are 2000 because typically the Ministry has changed (reduced) the available information in it's annual statistics report.

The average fertility rate is 1.79

Just under half of recipients only had one child.

But the other half with two or more children had a fertility rate of 2.54
Almost certainly (but I don't have the information to prove it) those who stay longest on the DPB have the highest fertility rates.

Looked at another way, right now just over half of DPB recipients are Maori or Pacific Island despite representing 21-22 percent of the general population. With their average fertility rates higher anyway (2.9 PI and 2.6 Maori in 2004) it is a fact that DPB is contributing to the problem of "less educated women [being] the powerhouse behind the country's birth rate."