Statistics NZ has released projections that show Auckland's population will grow to 38 percent of the country's total by 2031. Two thirds of the growth will come from natural increase - births minus deaths.
The population of Auckland has been growing faster than the national average for some time. The natural growth that has already occurred is reflected in numbers on the DPB.
Between 1999 and 2009 the national DPB total dropped 1 percent.
But in Auckland the number rose by 16 percent to 37,376. Additionally the numbers that are aged 18 and 19 grew by 38 percent.
Auckland certainly is breeding and brewing plenty of social problems for itself. The forum on Auckland social policy should have this issue as its number one priority.
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***Between 1999 and 2009 the national DPB total dropped 1 percent.
But in Auckland the number rose by 16 percent to 37,376. Additionally the numbers that are aged 18 and 19 grew by 38 percent.***
It would be interesting to see the educational background of those having the most children. Generally, it seems that the most educated women tend to have the fewest children. Over time this leads to a less intelligent population, as caricatured in the Mike Judge movie 'Idiocracy'.
I'm not sure what the answer to this is. In Singapore they once offered financial incentives to college graduates to have children.
The problem of course is that intelligence is significantly heritable and has a number of real world outcomes. Those with low levels of ability are more likely to struggle academically, and be overrepresented in welfare and crime (see research by Professor Linda Gotfredson or Ian Deary).
If NZ is serious about this, WINZ should be offering 3 monthly birth control shots in exchange for continuing DPB payments. The effects are temporary (ie. 3 months) and would protect against pregnancy while the person is receiving the benefit.
The alternative is to have increasing crime and welfare problems.
http://kidshealth.org/teen/sexual_health/contraception/contraception_depo.html
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