Friday, July 27, 2007

Benefit dependency among drug users

An expanded version of this report about a study into 318 drug users included the fact that "two fifths were unemployed, sick or invalids". No surprises there. Substance abuse as a reason for being on a sickness or invalids benefit is contributing to the sustained rises in reliance on those benefits.

Here are the numbers for just the Invalid's Benefit 1997-2005;



The latest I have for the sickness benefit is 2004 when 2,418 people were substance abusers. So it's safe to say there are over 4,000 substance abusers on welfare. Bear in mind this is the number of people who have substance abuse listed as their main reason for being on a benefit. Others will be hidden away in categories like Depression.

And let's not forget the thousands who are reliant on the state as guests of HM.

His tune never changes

And why should it? Roger Douglas in today's DomPost;

The Government's monopolies in education, health, housing, pensions and insurance against accidents, sickness, unemployment and death should be replaced by competition wherever possible.

It should take responsibility for only those functions that had to be centrally controlled, such as foreign affairs, defence and justice.


What I don't understand is why he insists on constantly criticising Rodney, who is the most libertarian MP in parliament. A little less of that particular refrain would be nice.

Thursday, July 26, 2007

It's never long before...

...we get another awful case.
It's just too hard to understand what goes on in the minds of these people.

This govt is in trouble

The teacher's union, the PPTA, has taken a full page ad in today's DomPost attacking the government. It features a photo of a couple of students with a large headline 'Promise'. The photo is torn in two, intended to convey a promise broken.

"What happens when a government dishonours it pledged support for secondary education? Communities and families up and down the country feel betrayed. And young lives are stunted by being denied opportunities to grow and fulfil yheir promise."

Strong, highly emotive stuff.

Wednesday, July 25, 2007

Matt Robson confirms ACT MPs doing a good job

From latest Robson-on-politics;

NZ media coverage of ACT Party

Because I have been overseas for the last month I have had to rely on the website versions of the newspapers and other outlets instead of turning on the TV or picking up the paper for NZ news.

And, you know, one thing that really struck me is how much media coverage the ACT Party gets.

"Act has every reason to be optimistic about the election next year," the NZ Herald website told me in a story on 8 July.

On 9 July, the NZ Herald had an article on members' views on the ACT Party's new co-operation agreement with the Labour Party.

On 10 July, the NZ Herald even had an Editorial dedicated to the ACT Party. It basically served to warn Mr. Hide that should he work with the government to advance Australasian regulations over so-called therapeutic products - then, well, then, "many National supporters must question whether Act is worth saving."

(I was surprised by that because for literally decades the NZ Herald has run literally thousands of stories on business leaders demanding Australasian-wide standards and regulations - because that reduces businesses' costs of doing business in both markets.)

"National's leaders, seeing Act willing to provide the final drops of oil to lubricate Labour policies, may feel far less inclined to entertain its policies when they hold power. If so, Act will cease to matter as a political influence," the editorial continued.

An interesting perspective. When did ACT matter as a political influence? I thought ACT had been in Opposition since the day it entered Parliament in 1996. It held neither influence in the National-led government of 1996, not the Labour-led governments since 1999.

On 20 July, the NZ Herald told us that Act won a "significant victory in Parliament" by somehow forcing a victims' rights amendment to be incorporated into the Criminal Justice Reform Bill.

I cannot understand this last story - it doesn't tell us how the vote went. But if it is true that the Criminal Justice Reform Bill is only being advanced with ACT support, then it is meaningful. But if what actually happened is that NZ First changed its position, then the story is just ACT propaganda i.e. ACT's "spin" on what actually happened and completely confusing to readers wanting to understand what is actually happening in their Parliament.

So how much support does ACT have again?


There is only one other big newspaper owner in the country, the Australian-owned group that produces papers like the Dominion in Wellington, the Press in Christchurch and the nationwide Independent business newspaper.

When I am in Auckland, I don't see these papers. But when overseas looking for news on New Zealand, I see them via the Web. The ACT Party gets equally strong coverage in those papers as well.

So how much support does ACT have? In the 2005 Election, ACT got 34,469 votes compared with the Progressive Party's 26,441 i.e. 1.5% of votes cast versus 1.2%.

In the latest Roy Morgan Poll (published on 11 July, 2007) ACT registered 1% support versus the Progressive Party's 1%. In the TVNZ July 5 poll, ACT registered 0.3% compared with 0.4% for Progressive. (In the electorate vote, Progressive was 0.8% versus ACT at 0.2%).

So given that there was just 0.3 of a percentage point in difference between ACT and Progressive's 2005 election result, and nothing in the polls between the two parties now, and that Progressive is represented in Cabinet and in key portfolios, and therefore actually contributes to government decisions, of course you would expect at least equal coverage in the media for Progressive, right? Yeah Right!

Tuesday, July 24, 2007

Clamour over cleavage

What a to-do. The Washington Post has published a piece about Hillary Clinton's cleavage (you'll be disappointed with the photo) and the feminists are up in arms. Actually it's quite interesting just how much one can find to say about the significance of this development. Not me. The person who wrote the story. I couldn't care less.

Here's what the feminists are saying though;

Mainstream media coverage of women politicians has hit a new, unbelievable low. On Friday, the Washington Post ran a prominent article analyzing Senator Hillary Clinton's cleavage.

Let the Post know that this kind of demeaning coverage will not be tolerated. Senator Clinton is a distinguished member of the Senate and quite possibly the next president of the United States. Instead of writing about her strategy to end the war in Iraq or her plans to reform the health care system in this country, the Post devoted a feature story to analyzing her breasts.

Let's stop this ridiculous coverage now, in the early stages of the campaign, and demand that Senator Clinton is treated with the same dignity and respect as her male competitors.

Male candidates are treated with dignity and respect?? Well, I'll be.

"Low quality votes"

Stephen Franks has a post about low quality votes.

I asked [ The justice and Electoral Select committee] what purpose was served by wailing about low turn out among young people,for example, and coaxing out low quality votes. How dare you call someone’s vote “low quality” was reaction. What else do you call reluctant votes from deeply uninterested and often profoundly ignorant voters.

Now research has shown that health boards disproportionately feature people whose names begin with a,b,c or d simply because their names head the ballot. Ticking the first name that appears is a perfect example of a "low quality" vote.

National's welfare agenda equals status quo

"Setting welfare agenda" is the title of a piece by National MP Judith Collins published in today's DomPost. In it National's welfare policy is revealed as copying Australia's work-for-the-dole scheme.

Collins says, it is time to stop telling people what they can't do, and start challenging them to consider what they can. Labour aren't doing this, apparently, as evidenced by their axing of the Activity in the Community programme.

However Labour's whole thrust in recent years has been work as the default. The drop in numbers on the dole is partly a result of this. A social security bill soon to be passed states as its guiding principle, work in paid employment offers the best opportunity for people to achieve social and economic well-being.

In essence then National and Labour are singing from the same song sheet - once again.

I do not know why Labour have dropped their own work-for-the-dole scheme but there will be good reasons. For instance, the schemes remove jobs from the private sector as with Collin's suggestion that work-for-the-dole participants should be involved in "planting native seedlings and beautification of parks" or "renovating a heritage-listed hall." Or they duplicate the volunteer work traditionally performed by retired folk. Or they are hellish difficult to administer, especially if participants are less than willing.

With under 30,000 people on an unemployment benefit (compared to nearly 115,000 five years earlier) it is questionable whether the "welfare agenda" should focus on the dole anyway. 89 percent of beneficiaries are on other benefits, namely sickness, invalid's and DPB. Even if half of these beneficiaries were to be put into work-for-the-dole schemes we are looking at around 120,000 individuals.

If this is setting the agenda, it is pie in the sky. Where is the serious analysis of the current situation and subsequent priorities? One gets the impression National is promising to resort to its comfort zone - managing problems instead of fixing them.

Only in May, in the same newspaper, National's deputy leader Bill English wrote, "Our prospects of climbing up the ladder (OECD) in the next few years aren't good. Recent economic growth has been fuelled by more employment, more debt, and working longer hours. There aren't more people to bring into work, so there's no more growth from that source."

On the face of it National appears to have accepted that beneficiaries won't provide a source of future paid employees yet are prepared to direct them into schemes intended to make them work-ready. That doesn't make sense.

The single largest group of beneficiaries is on the DPB. Young unskilled and uneducated women get on this benefit and stay there, often for years. There is no argument that being raised on welfare is not the best option for children. The government accepts that yet does nothing about stopping a constant stream of teenage newcomers to the DPB. They need to turn off the tap. Make it clear only short-term emergency assistance will be provided to people exiting relationships and none to people who intentionally have a child with no form of future, financial support. Adoption should be encouraged, not discouraged, which is CYF's current philosophy.

Some rigorous gate-keeping should also be applied to the sickness and invalid benefits. Some on these benefits have genuine reasons to be but increasingly, others have caused the incapacity which then prevents them from holding down a job. There used to be a rule that prohibited their eligibility. Re-adopt that rule for future applicants. One of the major contributors to the escalating number on incapacity benefits is mental ill-health. Perhaps more focus should be going on mental healthcare in the community. Being isolated and on welfare seems not much better than being in one of the many homes or hospitals that used to care for these people.

Above all, a government needs to make it absolutely clear that welfare is no longer a lifestyle. There is no question that many people have been treating it as such. Some of them will now have to be carried under the old rules and expectations as they have made themselves unemployable. But a good many are only using welfare temporarily and will move on in time.

If we ever want to return to a situation whereby we have thousands instead of hundreds of thousands unhappily dependent on the state for their survival, some radical changes are needed. They are not going to come from a National government.

Monday, July 23, 2007

Take the cop test


Do you really, really, really want to be a cop?

Didn't think so.

But you might want to win a video I-pod. I entered and don't even know what one is. Take the cop test and be in to win.

(ps don't tell the truth about whether you have any criminal convictions because it counts a 'yes' as a wrong answer. I guess the right answer is to lie. I'm not sure what exactly that tells us about the Police.)

It is broken

Today's editorial in the Taranaki Daily News and my response below;

If it's not broken no reason trying to fix it

The crimes can be shocking: young children, some as young as 13, involved in violent crimes. Even murder.

As a society we struggle to comprehend how this can happen: where did we go wrong, what have we become? And often we want to hit out, isolate and punish these young criminals, says the Taranaki Daily News.

But NZ First's move to lock up kids for all manner of crimes is way off the mark (excuse the bad pun).

Ron Mark's Young Offender (Serious Crimes) Bill is so far off the mark that principal Youth Court judge Andrew Becroft has slammed it as "abysmally drafted".

That's a nice way to say that it's just plain wrong. Wrong because Judge Becroft says family group conferences and the Youth Court are working to keep these kids on the right path. And wrong because he believes the crisis Mr Mark highlights of problem teens running amok is simply not there.

"Where is the statistical evidence to suggest offending by 10 to 13-year-olds is spiralling out of control?" he asks. He believes figures in fact show youth offending remaining relatively steady.

It's also wrong because children who commit the most serious of crimes can already be sent to adult courts and sentenced to jail.

Bailey Junior Kurariki is a classic example, jailed after becoming one of the country's youngest killers at age 13.

What could possibly be achieved by turfing out a system that successfully deals with young criminals in the community, not in courts, and gives them a chance to redeem themselves, and replacing it with harsher penalties for kids and a system that sets them up for a life of crime, putting them among hardened crims.

Mr Mark's bill passed its first reading because of an election deal with Labour. Let's hope that's as far as it gets.


Dear Sir

I am befuddled by Judge Becroft who spends a lot of time trying to allay public fears that youth offending is worsening (eg his published paper 'Putting the headlines in context') but on another occasion will freely admit that a sub-group of teenagers is becoming more violent. (Taranaki Daily News, May 7, 2007). 13 year-olds do not suddenly become nasty little pieces when they turn 14. Logically then we need, in certain cases, to be heavier handed at an earlier age, not by putting children in adult prisons but by detaining them in youth facilities - for the sake of public safety.

Neither am I reassured by Becroft's claim that statistics do not show increased offending. Our youth justice approach and philosophy for the last one hundred years has constantly shifted the goalposts. We increasingly trivialise criminality (what kids were put into the care of the state for in the early 1900s wouldn't turn a hair on anyone's head today) and increasingly divert children from court. Hence over time the available statistics remain relatively stable while underneath that facade is a steadily worsening situation.

Ron Mark's bill might not be the answer but as he says, neither is the status quo.

Sunday, July 22, 2007

More political interference

While National are consumed by Benson-Pope's role in the dismissal of Madaleine Setchell and planning their parliamentary attack next week, some time should be devoted to asking what Ken Shirley's appointment to the RMIA has to do with Winston Peters.

Friday, July 20, 2007

Hard to swallow

The innocent pay while the guilty get it for nothing. What is it?
(hat tip Reason)

'Child ' offending

Ron Mark, responding to criticism over his bill to reduce the age of criminal responsibility;

“The current youth justice system is not working to reduce repeat and serious offending, and all the while those with vested interests within the system ignore its failings and continue to applaud it as a ‘flagship’ and ‘world leading’ system."

I tend to agree with this. While Principal Youth Court Judge Becroft says there are no statistics showing 10-13 year-olds offending is "spiralling out of control", the violent offending of 14-16 year olds is worsening. 13 year-olds don't suddenly become violent when they turn fourteen. And it is very difficult to find justice statistics that show they are a problem when they can't be charged in a criminal court!

Here are apprehension trends (Which Becroft also rejects because they may only be telling us about police resourcing, practices and recording)



On the other hand, I have reservations about lowering the age of criminal responsibility. Sending a child to court (and whatever ensues) can have the opposite of the desired effect and entrench his criminality. It's a debate that never goes away. Whether to be harsh or lenient. And there is no black and white answer because we are dealing with human beings. No two are ever the same.

Thursday, July 19, 2007

Bravo Judy Turner

Well said United Future's Judy Turner. I couldn't even be bothered blogging about this silly bunch of meddlers, the National Council of Women. But Judy Turner has given them and the 180 degree party (National) a good burst.

“So a report written by the National Council of Women will tell the United Nations that New Zealand is experiencing ‘marked change for the worse’ for women,” she says.

“What a load of hogwash. This is simply representatives of the women’s industry trying to justify their roles and push for more funding. They argue that sexist jokes are increasingly common, and more needs to be done.

“National had a ‘PC eradicator’ two years ago. Now they are chasing the women’s vote and proposing that the taxpayer fork out to increase the funding given to the Ministry of Women’s Affairs to expand their role and mandate.

“I have to say when you look around the world at countries where women are sold and traded like commodities; and rape victims are murdered by their own family in the name of ‘honour’, it’s a little embarrassing that we have a delegation heading to New York to say that sexism is an increasing problem in New Zealand and sexist jokes are common place.”

Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Bugger the bureacrats

I see Rodney is shaking a few trees. From a speech he delivered in Auckland today;

Since the beginning of time our capital city has resented the fact that, while it is the one busily making the rules, it is Auckland that is making the money. It is Auckland that provides New Zealand with its beating industrial and commercial heart; it is Auckland that keeps the lifeblood of money, trade and commerce pumping through the veins of New Zealand.

Auckland is where the nation's economic might lies - and it is because of this that Wellington has always viewed us with a 'divide and conquer' mentality. United we stand, divided we fall - and with eight councils, seven Mayors and 6,000 bureaucrats there's not a whole lot of standing going on.

In essence, the plan itself is very simple - the best plans always are - set them up to squabble amongst themselves. That way they will never be united enough to demand their fair slice of the national pie - because, God forbid, they might actually get it. Because, shock horror, Auckland might start demanding that Auckland taxes actually be spent on Auckland!

Uh Oh

Just writing out a cheque last night and I thought, there's something vaguely familiar about the date. Is it somebody's birthday? Independence Day maybe? No we've had that. Tax Freedom Day? No. Had that. Did I have a dentist appointment? No. Been and done that. Oh yeah. It's my wedding anniversary. At least this year I remembered on the day. Sometimes it's well past before either of us notice. The last of the great romantics - I don't think so. But hey. At least I am not like that blubbering, noisomely sentimental partner of the Nigerian kidnapee. Thank God he was returned and we won't have to see or hear her again. Yuck.

Blame it on the missus

A new book about evolutionary psychology claims,

Men like Barbie-doll blondes, beautiful people have more daughters and a mid-life crisis is not about a man getting old – it's about his wife getting old.

Having read the article, if you are anything like me you will now be mentally going through a list of anybody you know who has had a mid-life crisis or more daughters than sons to see if the theory fits. Does it?

As I have one son and one daughter I figure I must be both rich and beautiful. That or I am neither. Face facts. It's the second. Perhaps I'll go ring a psychic to reassure me that one day I will be both. I need a new 'addiction'.

"When sex is bad for you"

I disagree with Tapu Misa most of the time but her column in today's NZ Herald strikes a chord. But I don't think the difference between men and women is as black and white as she paints it. Plenty of the male species want more than just casual sex as well. (Watch out for Cactus's post on this one.)
My thirteen year-old asked me the other day, not, where do babies come from (he seems to have cottoned on to that with little input from me) but, why would you want to have sex with someone you didn't know? (This after some media item alluding to prostitution.) Why indeed. A very good question.

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

Maori-In-Oz

This is an interesting site;

HAERE MAI TO ALL VISITORS! Welcome to the only website of its kind outside of Aotearoa (NZ). MIO (Maori-in-oz.com) has been online since 2004 with approximately 6,273,000 hits to March of this year and now mustering without effort over a million hits every few months! This gives us warranted reasons to move forward with the times as MIO grows from strength to strength.

Most of their news is dominated by Maori Party press releases so I submitted my piece about Hone Harawira's outburst and they have published it. Nearly 100,000 Maori live in Australia - around 15 percent of the Maori population.

In March 2006 there were 389,464 New Zealanders living in Oz and almost one quarter of them are Maori. Next to Poms (at just over 1 million) Kiwis form the next biggest group by country of birth.

Fuel efficiency is dangerous

US research shows that shaving weight off cars to make them more fuel efficient is resulting in many more lost lives. Additionally when drivers can get more miles per gallon they are inclined to drive more thus negating the fuel savings.

Let's hope that the House does not follow the Senate's lead and dramatically raise Corporate Average Fuel Economy, or CAFE, standards across the board.

Raising CAFE standards would only accomplish two things: eliminating consumers' freedom of choice concerning the types of vehicles they can drive; and placing drivers at greater risk of serious injury or death in the event of an accident.

None of the senators have ever designed a car and sold it in the marketplace for a profit, yet they see fit to tell the entire automobile industry what is possible.,,,

....The CAFE standard is a morally bankrupt public policy – an experiment that has killed almost as many people as the number of military personnel lost in the Vietnam War. It's time to end, not expand, CAFE.


Rule of thumb. Whenever government seeks to solve a problem it creates another.