tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19962237.post3126505502784355504..comments2024-03-04T16:39:30.609+13:00Comments on Lindsay Mitchell: National 1938 to 2014Lindsay Mitchellhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04437693272797130833noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19962237.post-40231119080005529612014-09-29T20:54:10.948+13:002014-09-29T20:54:10.948+13:00Interesting, the downward trend for national is he...Interesting, the downward trend for national is heverly influenced by the very low point of 2002. Could you email me the raw data or a link to it. David at zestos dot co dot NZ. ThxAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19962237.post-35656307409229116002014-09-29T17:32:26.188+13:002014-09-29T17:32:26.188+13:00That was the push behind MMP
Plus:
a couple of M...<i> That was the push behind MMP</i><br /><br />Plus:<br /> a couple of Muldoon Naitonal govts with substantially less vote s than Labour<br /> and a feeling both Labour (84) & Nats (91) lied to the country about what they would do.<br /><br />Of course in retrospect it's clear the did the right things; and in prospect, it's very clear indeed that everyone who said MMP would basically destroy the economy because governments could never again do those right things were absolutely on the money. <br /><br />Exhibit #1: John Key's governmentAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19962237.post-19515147061440545372014-09-29T17:18:40.125+13:002014-09-29T17:18:40.125+13:00Social Credit from 1954
Values from 1972
NZ Part...Social Credit from 1954<br /><br />Values from 1972<br /><br />NZ Party from 1981<br /><br />All parties which recieved substantial shares of the vote but didn't win electorates. That was the push behind MMP. The parliamentary representation didn't reflect the voting make-up.Lindsay Mitchellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04437693272797130833noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19962237.post-88729607794109079722014-09-29T17:16:33.060+13:002014-09-29T17:16:33.060+13:00Prior to the first MMP election in 1996. NZ had in...<i>Prior to the first MMP election in 1996. NZ had in essence a two party system of National and Labour. Its difficult to see how during this period of time both parties could have been trending downwards in their percentage of the vote. <br /></i><br /><br />no shows, Social Credit & Bob JonesAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19962237.post-75664735473837058472014-09-29T17:16:00.377+13:002014-09-29T17:16:00.377+13:00The individual party trends are not all that impor...The individual party trends are not all that important. <br /><br />What is critical is the left-right split - which shows a clear line upwards over the last 60 years, accelerating in the last 10, in NZ and basically all of the "Welfare West". <br /><br />When National hit their low-point of 20%, Labour was only on 40% and the left barely made it past 50%. But even though labour on 25% seems to be doing better than National, National now is on 50% and the Right as a whole is something like 65%. Cunliffe actually did 10 points worse than English - not 5 points better! <br /><br />The West is moving away from Welfare, away from "Social Democracy", and towards Freedom and Personal ResponsibilityAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19962237.post-31478517726084968752014-09-29T17:03:47.823+13:002014-09-29T17:03:47.823+13:00Prior to the first MMP election in 1996. NZ had in...Prior to the first MMP election in 1996. NZ had in essence a two party system of National and Labour. Its difficult to see how during this period of time both parties could have been trending downwards in their percentage of the vote. <br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19962237.post-52186434508716758182014-09-29T11:25:47.811+13:002014-09-29T11:25:47.811+13:00Excel auto-generated linear trendline.Excel auto-generated linear trendline.Lindsay Mitchellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04437693272797130833noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19962237.post-73268890182882705052014-09-29T10:49:10.490+13:002014-09-29T10:49:10.490+13:00Is that trendline accurate though, or did you just...Is that trendline accurate though, or did you just slap one on there?The Java Monkeyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06593236838532411278noreply@blogger.com