Regular readers of this blog will know I love to calculate chances.
Listening to SportsTalk on Radio Live this morning, walking the dog along the beach, I was underwhelmed by the cockiness of the commentators regarding the chances of the All Blacks winning against France in Dunedin tonight. The only debate was over how much they would win by. The French would roll over and die after 10 minutes, apparently. One individual had placed $200,000 on the All Blacks with the TAB bookies.
The bookies will be slumping over their desks in relief.
The payout to me for guessing Ma'a Nonu would score the last try but France would win was a mere $66.
What if Japan had never surrendered during WWII?
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